Are you sure? Modeling metacognition in the wild
Wed-HS1-Talk VI-03
Presented by: Arkady Zgonnikov
Metacognition – one's evaluation of their own cognitive processes – plays major role in our behavior. The past decade has seen an explosion of interest in measuring and modeling metacognition, shedding light on some of the key manifestations of metacognition such as confidence judgements, error monitoring, and changes of mind. However, the studies of metacognition have so far been mostly limited to simplistic paradigms like perceptual discrimination based on abstract stimuli or hypothetical preferential choice between food items. At the same time, metacognition in dynamic, situated decisions that are pervasive in our daily life has received little attention in the literature. As a first step to address this gap, here we investigated human drivers' confidence in left-turn decisions in a driving simulator experiment. We found that drivers' confidence in their decision changes with the task parameters in a way that is consistent with key findings on metacognition in simple perceptual decision making. We compared the observed data to predictions of a previously proposed evidence accumulation model of left-turn decision making that was extended to provide a proxy measure of confidence. Our results suggest that metacognitive mechanisms implied in simple tasks can be traced also in more dynamic, real-life behaviors such as driving.
Keywords: Metacognition, Confidence, Decision making, Driver behavior, Evidence accumulation