Investigating Age Differences in Risky Choice through the Lens of a Rational Strategy Selection Model
Mon-B22-Talk III-01
Presented by: Florian Bolenz
How people make decisions under risk changes across the adult lifespan. Here, we investigate to what extent age differences in risky choice can be understood as reflecting differences in the rational selection of different decision strategies. For this purpose, we use a rational strategy-selection model that assumes that decision makers select decision strategies by optimizing the trade-off between a strategy's payoff and the cost of implementing this strategy. Analyzing risky choice data from 60 younger and 62 older adults, we find that the rational strategy-selection model is able to capture age differences with respect to decision quality and risk preference. According to the model, younger and older adults differ in their strategy use. However older adults do not use simpler strategies or weight strategy cost more strongly during strategy selection. Instead, older adults seem to rely more frequently on strategies that focus more strongly on information about outcomes than on information about probabilities for making a choice. Our results suggest that age differences in risky choice might not primarily be driven by cognitive factors but instead reflect experience-based or motivational differences in strategy use. More generally, our study highlights the usefulness of a strategy-selection perspective for understanding age-related differences in decision making and points to an alternative to more commonly used psychoeconomic modeling frameworks.
Keywords: aging, cognitive modeling, decision making, risk