Submission 563
Cautious at the Curb: Conservative Bias in Pedestrian Interpretation of Vehicle Yielding
SymposiumTalk-01
Presented by: Daniel Eisele
Understanding whether vehicles will yield is critical for safe and smooth interactions with both human-driven and automated vehicles (AVs). This study explored (a) how accurately pedestrians can identify whether vehicles will yield (b) the influence of road design, vehicle motion, vehicle type, and explicit communication on accuracy, and (c) the correspondence between subjective certainty and actual accuracy.
Participants viewed short video clips depicting approaching vehicles that either yielded or maintained their speed. The vehicles varied in type and explicit communication: a conventional vehicle without eHMIs, an AV with a mode eHMI indicating automation, or an AV additionally indicating whether the vehicle is currently decelerating. Yielding behavior and road design were also manipulated. After each clip, participants judged whether the vehicle would yield and indicated their certainty.
Participants were accurate overall (86%). They exhibited a (presumably adaptive) conservative bias: false negatives (falsely assuming the vehicle would not yield) far outnumbered false alarms (falsely assuming the vehicle would yield). Mixed-effects analyses showed that accuracy was shaped primarily by braking behavior and road design, while explicit communication improved recognition only when vehicles truly intended to yield, leaving false alarm rates unaffected. Certainty was generally high but varied with cue clarity.
The uncovered interactions underscore the need for integrated vehicle and road design to jointly support accurate and confident intent recognition.