16:30 - 18:00
Parallel sessions 6
16:30 - 18:00
Room: HSZ - N5
Chair/s:
Wiebke Hemming, Fabian E. Gümüsdagli
Prospective memory (PM) refers to the ability to remember intended actions and execute them at a specific time point (time-based PM) or in response to a specific event (event-based PM) in the future (for an overview, see Bayen et al., 2024). PM is pivotal for goal-directed behavior in everyday life, and everyday errors frequently involve PM failures (Crovitz & Daniel, 1984; Kvavilashvili et al., 2001; Terry, 1988). Over the past decades, PM research has evolved into a broad field encompassing laboratory paradigms, naturalistic studies, neurophysiological studies and metacognitive and cognitive modeling approaches. Despite this progress, many of the key questions remain unanswered about the mechanisms supporting PM across different contexts, time frames, and age groups. 
This symposium brings together recent advances from diverse domains of PM research. The first talk focuses on the functional neuroanatomy of event-based and time-based PM in healthy older adults. The second talk examines age differences in metacognitive monitoring and control processes in PM, focusing on how these mechanisms support the management of intentions across adulthood. The third talk focuses on a metacognitive path model of time-based PM, tested empirically on multiple datasets. The fourth talk introduces a novel bi-factor modeling approach that separates bottom-up spontaneous retrieval from top-down preparatory processes in event-based PM. Finally, the fifth talk introduces a new cognitive model that disentangles the prospective component—remembering that something must be done—and the retrospective components of event-based PM, namely remembering what must be done and when. Together, this symposium provides an integrative perspective on current theoretical and methodological developments in PM research and concludes with a discussion of challenges in measuring PM performance and promising directions for future work.
Submission 165
A New Multinomial Model of Prospective Memory: Validating the Retrospective What Component
SymposiumTalk-05
Presented by: Fabian E. Gümüsdagli
Fabian E. GümüsdagliUte J. BayenMarie Luisa Schaper
Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Germany
Remembering to perform an intended action when a specified event occurs in the future is referred to as event-based prospective memory (PM; see Bayen et al., 2024, for an overview). Successful PM involves several cognitive processes: remembering that something must be done (prospective component), remembering when it must be done (retrospective when component), and remembering what must be done (retrospective what component). Smith and Bayen (2004) developed the multinomial processing tree model of PM, which allows us to disentangle the prospective and retrospective when components, but not the retrospective what component. We extended this model by introducing new parameters and response categories to disentangle all components of PM. To validate the new parameter representing the retrospective what component in line with the strong validation criterion (cf. Schmidt et al., 2025), we conducted an experiment (N = 256) designed to selectively affect this parameter while leaving all others unaffected. Participants performed an ongoing task and were additionally instructed to press one of two keys (F1 or F8) when a pre-learned word appeared, with specific words assigned to specific keys. We manipulated the encoding difficulty associated with the key by varying the learning sequence: One group first learned all words for one key (e.g., F1) and then all words for the other key (e.g., F8), whereas the other group alternated between keys during learning. Consistent with the strong validation criterion, only the parameter representing the retrospective what component was affected by the manipulation, thereby supporting its construct validity.