Submission 706
Meet the Family: A Taxonomy of Computational Confidence Models
SymposiumTalk-01
Presented by: Matthias Guggenmos
Computational models of confidence have become central to understanding how agents - biological or artificial - infer, evaluate, and act upon uncertainty. By now, it is largely consensus that accurate inferences about metacognitive characteristics require explicit modeling of the hierarchy linking type 1 decisions to type 2 judgments. A broad range of models have been proposed with distinct architectures and varying hierarchical stages at which metacognitive noise and bias are assumed to emerge. My goal in this talk is to (1) delineate the core components that models of confidence should encompass, (2) organize existing approaches within a coherent framework, and (3) identify promising directions for future research - including an important role of model-free measures such as those derived from information theory.