Toward realistic, plausible, positive futures for the planet
Contributed session - Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological system dynamics
C4 (125)
11:30 - 13:00
Albert Norström
The world has entered the Anthropocene in which the social and ecological are increasingly entangled in surprising and novel ways. Resilience is the capacity of social-ecological systems to adapt or transform in the face of these dramatic changes. Building resilience in a world of surprise and novelty require methods that bring multiple futures into current decision making. Scenario planning is one approach that has been increasingly used in research and science-policy processes, in particular places and in international assessment such as IPBES.

Scenarios are plausible stories about how the future of a social-ecological system might unfold. Scenario planning can be an important tool in social-ecological transformations because it forces people to think explicitly about alternative situations, consider key uncertainties and create an understanding that a different order of things is possible. We will bring together leading scholars from diverse disciplines to create a novel overview of the multiple roles scenarios can have in social-ecological transformations.
Garry Peterson 1, Joost Vervoort 2
1 Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, 2 Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Elena Bennett
McGill University, Montreal, Canada
Albert Norström
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Joost Vervoort 1, 2, Garry Peterson 3, David Farrell 4, Laura Pereira 5, Tanja Hichert 5, Rika Preiser 5, Oonsie Biggs 5, Elena Bennett 6
1 Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands, 2 University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, 3 Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden, 4 Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, United Kingdom, 5 Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa, 6 McGill University, Montreal, Canada