In a polarized society, our beliefs about contingent political outcomes are often shaped by partisan views and associated motivated reasoning. However, we rarely confront the rightness or wrongness of those beliefs ex-post, when uncertainties about future political outcomes are resolved. In this experiment, we solicit political predictions from a nationally representative sample of Americans, in the days prior to the 2025 inauguration of Donald Trump. Crucially, we ask subjects to make politial predictions both without and a financial incentive for prediction accuracy, allowing us to test (within-subject) how incentives may or may not reduce the nature of predictions and partisan attitudes. In the late spring of 2025, we will return to these subjects to confront them with the accuracy/inaccuracy of their predictions, allowing us to further explore whether political attitudes are affected when people are provided with an opportunity to reflect on their prior beliefs. [Note: we hope to have complete data and preliminary results by the time of IMEBESS 2025!]