13:30 - 15:00
Room: Floor 1, Room 108, Nature House
Chair/s:
Diego Marino Fages
Diego Marino Fages - Motivated Forecasts: Evidence from the Presidential Elections in Argentina
Ülkü Bicakci - When Science Challenges Beliefs: Experimental Evindence on the Erosion of Trust in Science
Đorđe Milosav - The Effects of Travel Restrictions on Citizens’ Perceptions of State Legitimacy: A System Justification Perspective
Vittorio Merola - What Shapes Political Information Processing? Experimentally Testing Motivational Versus Bayesian Explanations
When Science Challenges Beliefs: Experimental Evindence on the Erosion of Trust in Science
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Presented by: Ülkü Bicakci
Ülkü Bicakci 1, Sebastian Blesse 1, Philipp Lergetporer 2
1 ifo Institute
2 Technical University of Munich
This study is the first to analyze how trust in science is affected by motivated reasoning through a large-scale information experiment. We study a representative sample from Germany and focus on evidence regarding the impact of migration on native labor-market success. We find that trust in science increases when randomly provided evidence aligns with prior beliefs but decreases when it contradicts them. These findings highlight the role of belief-confirmation bias in shaping attitudes toward scientific evidence The study underscores the importance of understanding how individuals interpret and respond to scientific information, particularly in the context of policy-making and public discourse.