09:20 - 11:00
Room: Meeting Room 1.1
Chair/s:
Bunyamin Esen
Tomoko Matsumoto - Political Trust and Preferences for Redistribution: Wasteful Spending and Plutocratic Influence
Bunyamin Esen - The Transformation of the Welfare State in the Age of Artificial Intelligence: Adaption Strategies for Redistribution and Institutional Capacity
Eric Arias - Revisiting the Relationship between Access to Credit and Support for Redistribution
Sébastien Cuenot - Nation over Class? How patriotism boosts redistributive preferences and alters the income-based cleavage in Southeast Asia
 
Submission 10
Political Trust and Preferences for Redistribution: Wasteful Spending and Plutocratic Influence
Panel.1-S-1
Presented by: Tomoko Matsumoto
Tomoko Matsumoto 1, Daiki Kishishita 2
1 Tokyo University of Science
2 Hitotsubashi University
Higher political trust has been argued to stimulate support for redistribution. We revisit this argument by distinguishing between two types of trust: trust in efficient government spending and trust in limited plutocratic influence. By developing a political economy model of income taxation and public spending, we found that, while higher trust in efficient spending increases the ideal tax rate, higher trust in limited plutocratic influence may decrease it. To test this theory, we conducted an online survey experiment in Japan with approximately 2,000 respondents, where we measured and manipulated these two types of trust separately. The results showed that increasing trust in efficient spending had no effect on preferences for income taxation. However, increasing trust in limited plutocratic influence reduced support for progressive income taxation among supporters of governing parties. The additional experiment using a conjoint design to

measure policy preferences also confirmed the result on the effect of trust in limited plutocratic influence.