I Have Seen you Before: How Voters Perceive Authoritarian Successor Parties?
P13-S319-4
Presented by: Javier Padilla
Authoritarian successor parties emerge in an authoritarian regime and operate during democracy. This paper shows that subjective polarization is related to the fate of authoritarian successor parties in democracy. Using a new dataset comprising 2 million voters' perceptions of 1000 political parties in several new democratic countries, I show that authoritarian successor parties are consistently perceived as more extreme on the left-right dimension from what their policy positions are. Further analyses show that parties led by a former authoritarian elite or the children of a former authoritarian elite have an extremism premium. This is robust when using expert placements, party manifestos, and comparisons within the same party family. A regression discontinuity analysis shows that this bias is stronger for those eligible to vote in the first democratic elections and saw the party operating during both regimes. Last, I study the Brazilian case, where several authoritarian politicians ended up in different political parties, to show that voters from the constituency where they were chosen during the dictatorship have a more biased perception of these political parties. The findings have relevant consequences in understanding polarization in countries with authoritarian pasts.
Keywords: Transitions to Democracy; Elites; Party Perceptions; Authoritarian Parties