From Global Markets to Local Politics: How Import Competition Influences Representation
P9-S241-2
Presented by: Jonas Geus
What are the electoral consequences of economic globalization? Numerous studies suggest that import competition impacts local labor markets in Western democracies, fueling a backlash against globalization, political polarization, and the rise of populist and right-wing parties. We shift attention to a new, thus far largely unexplored political consequence. Blending material- and identity-based arguments, we suggest that economic pressures from global markets move voter preferences toward political candidates with local ties. While subtle compared to broader shifts in party systems, these local ties are a key aspect of descriptive representation, influencing governance and district advocacy. We further identify several attributes of the local economy that shape this link between economic globalization and local representation. We test our argument in the context of the United States, combining data on the exposure of Congressional Districts to import competition with newly available data on legislator characteristics, product-, industry-, and district-level attributes, and election outcomes. Our results provide a novel perspective on how economic globalization affects politics, shaping electoral outcomes and candidate selection.
Keywords: Economic Globalization, Import Competition, Electoral Consequences, Descriptive Representation