11:20 - 13:00
P7-S163
Room: -1.A.02
Chair/s:
Jorge G Mangonnet
Discussant/s:
Kimberly Renk
Rulers, Resistance, and Retreat: Flight as a Constraint on Predatory Rule
P7-S163-4
Presented by: Kimberly Renk
Kimberly Renk
University of California San Diego
Predatory rulers attempt to extract as much revenue as possible from the population, but that does not mean they are unconstrained. Scholars have often focused on rebellions as such a constraint due to the costs they impose on rulers. However, rebellions also involve severe costs for participants, including risks of injury, punishment, or death. Given these costs, I argue that commoners frequently opted to resist predatory extraction by fleeing, especially during the pre-industrial era. To explore the implications of this contention, I model the dynamic between a revenue-maximizing ruler and a peasant, who chooses to comply, flee, or rebel. This model shows that when rebellion is relatively costly, flight, rather than rebellion, serves to constrain the ruler. I provide empirical evidence for this insight by drawing from the case of indigenous exploitation in colonial Peru. First, I demonstrate that the Spanish Crown set lower tax rates where indigenous peasants could more easily flee. Using a difference-in-differences design, I then show that when peasants were subjected to overextraction through forced labor in mines, they responded by fleeing rather than rebelling. These findings provide a new perspective on the dynamic between rulers and their subjects that can be applied to numerous phenomena and settings.
Keywords: Authoritarian rule, revenue extraction, flight, rebellion, historical political economy

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