11:20 - 13:00
P7-S181
Room: 1A.04
Chair/s:
Miguel Carreras
Discussant/s:
Nicolas Fliess
Does Far-Right Success Increase Hostility Toward Minorities? Evidence from the US and France
P7-S181-2
Presented by: Dirck De Kleer, Alonso Román Amarales
Dirck De KleerAlonso Román Amarales
Bocconi University
Far-right parties and candidates have become prominent political actors in Western democracies, often targeting minority groups through exclusionary rhetoric. While the determinants of far-right success are well-studied, the social consequences of their electoral fortunes remain understudied, particularly for the minority groups they target in their rhetoric. This study examines how narrowly won elections by far-right candidates in the United States and France influence attitudinal and behavioral hostility toward minorities, measured through hate crimes and prejudicial attitudes. Using regression discontinuity designs, we plan to show that far-right success amplifies exclusionary rhetoric, legitimizes hostility, and fosters an environment where discrimination becomes more socially acceptable. By analyzing two distinct political contexts, we seek to provide comparative evidence on the consequences of far-right success and its broader implications for several groups of minorities in liberal democracies.
Keywords: far-right politics, public opinion, anti-minority hostility, hate crimes, hostile rhetoric

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