Unpacking the Voting Gender Gap
P7-S176-1
Presented by: Pablo Argote, Daniela Urbina
Two facts have characterized elections in the Western world since 2016: a) a gender gap, where women vote for progressive candidates, and men for more conservative ones; b) an educational gap, as more educated people vote for the left, and less educated for the right. We claim that both phenomena are connected. In particular, we argue that the observed gender gap is, to a large extent, a consequence of the expansion of higher education, and of the fact that women overperform men in every indicator of success in higher education ---test scores, completion rates, and others. If left-of-center parties represent educated groups, then it is natural that men who struggle in this field will feel increasingly alienated from these parties. We study this topic primarily in the United States, a country where both the gender and the educational gap deepen in the 2024 election, especially among youngsters. First, we will conduct a descriptive and correlational analysis, aiming to demonstrate that the gender gap diminishes when adjusting for education. Second, we plan to exploit university expansion, in order to grasp the causal effect of education on political attitudes.
Keywords: Voting behavior; Gender gap; Educational gap; Expansion of higher education.