13:10 - 14:50
P3-S59
Room: -1.A.06
Chair/s:
Vicente Valentim
Discussant/s:
Jon H. Fiva, Milan Svolik
Frontiers: Accountability and political selection: High standards in India’s competitive rural elections
P3-S59-4
Presented by: Tanushree Goyal
Tanushree Goyal 1, Tanisha Mohapatra 2
1 Princeton University
2 University of Oxford

We investigate political entry and selection at an unprecedented scale within India’s local democracy, analyzing data from 3 million candidates across four major states and multiple election cycles. We find that 1 percent of rural adults run for office in each election. Local politicians, while descriptively representative, are significantly more educated than the general population across various positions and levels of rural governance. India’s seat reservation system has a disruptive dynamic. It disqualifies 29 percent of incumbents from re-election due to quota rotation. Consequently, quotas not only bring lower educated citizens to office, they disproportionately eliminate higher-educated candidates from recontesting office. Despite these disruptions, the educational qualifications of candidates gradually increase over time, with both re-running and new candidates generally more educated than the incumbents they replace. We further find a consistent incumbency disadvantage, including in reserved-seat races same-caste and same-gender races, which is similar in magnitude to open and mixed-candidate races. Exploring policy performance observationally, we find that incumbents who choose to recontest deliver strong workfare program benefits, with winning incumbents providing even greater benefits. Audit data suggest that these high provision levels do not reflect corruption. Our findings show that local Indian democracy has competitive selection and accountability processes that progressively enhance the quality of representation.

Keywords: Panel title: Research on the Frontiers of Democracy (abbreviation “Frontiers”) Short description: This panel delves into pioneering research on democratic resilience, electoral manipulation, and political selection across diverse global settings. The papers provide new insights into how, when, and why citizens embrace or reject democratic principles. From probing the boundaries of democratic commitment amid Peru’s political turmoil to assessing plebiscites as tools for legitimizing occupation, the role of money in politics in the United States, and investigating the quality of representation in India’s rural democracy, this panel offers a nuanced exploration of democracy’s challenges and the intricate conditions required to sustain it across different political ecosystems. Confirmed Presenters: Christopher Lee Carter, Assistant professor, University of Virginia Natalia Garbiras-Díaz, Assistant professor, Harvard Business School Tanushree Goyal, Assistant professor, Princeton University Vicente Valentim, Assistant professor, IE Sam van Noort, Lecturer, Princeton University Confirmed Chair: Ben Ansell, Professor, University of Oxford Confirmed Discussants: Isabela Mares, Arnold Wolfers Professor of Political Science, Yale University Milan Svolik, Professor of Political Science, Yale University Jon Fiva, Professor of Economics, Norwegian Business School (BI)

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