09:30 - 11:10
P1-S3
Room: -1.A.03
Chair/s:
George Ofosu
Discussant/s:
German Feierherd
Understanding Extreme Attitudes: Identity Politics and Social Polarization in Kyrgyzstan
P1-S3-4
Presented by: Francisca Castro
Francisca Castro 1, 2, Damir Esenaliev 2, 3, Wolfgang Stojetz 2
1 International Security and Development Center
2 Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
3 Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops (IGZ)
Political polarization poses a critical challenge to democratic stability and social cohesion worldwide, with the potential to escalate into radicalization and violence. Understanding how different dimensions of polarization emerge and interact in nascent democracies is crucial for preventing such escalation. In this study, we examine these dynamics in Kyrgyzstan, where rising societal divisions create an important case for analyzing polarization processes. We examine polarization through four key dimensions: dispersion of attitudes, bimodality of positions, ideological polarization, and identity-based polarization. Using the Life in Kyrgyzstan (LiK) Study's panel data spanning from 2010 to 2025, combined with ethnographic fieldwork and a list experiment embedded in the final survey wave to measure sensitive aspects of polarization, we investigate how polarization manifests and evolves over time. The research addresses three fundamental questions: the level and temporal evolution of polarization in Kyrgyzstan, the primary drivers of extreme social, religious, and political attitudes, and community-level responses to polarization and extremism. By combining large-scale panel data with experimental and ethnographic methods, this study provides new theoretical and empirical insights into how different dimensions of polarization interact and potentially reinforce each other in societies undergoing rapid social change.
Keywords: political polarization; extremism; panel data; Central Asia

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