17:45 - 20:00
Friday-Panel
Chair/s:
Lawrence Ezrow
Discussant/s:
Christian Breunig
Meeting Room K

Franziska Quoß, Lukas Rudolph, Thomas Däubler
How do policy positions of candidates affect vote choice under OLPR? Survey-experimental evidence using real candidates from Switzerland

Matthias Avina
Can the Accommodation Strategy be Effective? An Examination of Mainstream Party Shifts in Europe

Diane Bolet, Fergus Green
Is the Green New Deal a vote-winner? Evidence from the effect of Spain’s transición ecológica policy on national election results

Lawrence Ezrow, Werner Krause
Voter Turnout and Party Responsiveness
Voter Turnout and Party Responsiveness
Lawrence Ezrow 1, Werner Krause 2
1 University of Essex
2 Humboldt University Berlin

Numerous studies conclude that declining turnout is harmful for democracy. However, we uncover the arguably positive effect that political parties become more responsive to the median voter in the election after turnout has decreased. We assume that parties are vote-seeking and that moderate voters are responsible for changes in turnout (consistent with Rodon 2017), and we argue that declining turnout in an election sends a clear signal to political parties that there is an opportunity to mobilize voters in the following election by responding to changes in public opinion. We report the results of statistical analyses on data from thirteen democracies from 1977 to 2017 that provide evidence that declining voter turnout in one inter-election period is associated with increasing party responsiveness to public opinion in the following period. Our findings have important implications for our understanding of voter turnout, political representation, and parties’ election strategies.