11:00 - 13:15
Friday-Panel
Chair/s:
Alex Braithwaite
Discussant/s:
Tolga Sinmazdemir
Meeting room A

Shusuke Ioku
Resolved or belligerent: crisis signaling without inherent assurances

Alex Braithwaite, Michael Frith, Miranda Simon, Tiffany S. Chu, Faten Ghosn
Pushed and pulled: Refugee preferences regarding resettlement

Alon Yakter, Liran Harsgor
Long-term Change in Conflict Attitudes: A Dynamic Approach

Lorenzo Crippa, Laura Saavedra-Lux
Oiling the Guns: How FDI in Oil and Gas Extraction Affects Conflict Dynamics

QingQian He, YaQian He
Water conflict: An Empirical Test for Neo-Malthusian View with Remotely-Sensed Data
Water conflict: An Empirical Test for Neo-Malthusian View with Remotely-Sensed Data
QingQian He 1, YaQian He 2
1 China University of Political Science and Law
2 University of Central Arkansas

This study aims using remotely sensed data to calculate the area of agricultural land for each country within specific international river basins over space and time, and empirically investigates the impact of agriculture on conflict over international rivers from 2001 to 2007. Water is an essential resource for human existence and is used to fuel all facets of human life. Neo-Malthusians thus argue that inequal access to scarce and critical resources such as water will stoke grievances among disenfranchised water users, which in turn triggers conflicts over them. Irrigation for agriculture makes the most demands on freshwater supplies, far more than industries’ water use and individuals’ water consumption. For a country heavily dependent on international water river for its agricultural irrigation, the danger of having its water supply severely constrained by the other country along the same river may seem highly threatening. Unfortunately, due to lack of data on agriculture land for each country in specific international river basins, there are no directly convincing evidence for neo-Malthusian view of water conflict regarding on the impact of agriculture. This study aims to fill this gap by using remotely sensed data, and empirically examines the impact of agriculture on conflict over international rivers from 2001-2007. We will calculate the area of agricultural land for each country within specific international river basins based on Modis Land Cover Data (500m). The data on water conflict will be from the International Water Cooperation and Conflict Database, which records water events from 2001 to 2007.