17:45 - 20:00
Thursday-Panel
Chair/s:
Costin Ciobanu
Discussant/s:
Brandon Beomseob Park
Meeting Room J

Mary Stegmaier, Michael Lewis-Beck, Beomseob Park
Economics and Elections: The future agenda

Alexandra Jabbour
Beyond the neighbourhood, but not too far: reconsidering the effect of the immediate environment on citizens’ perceptions of the economy

Eitan Tzelgov, Loren Collingwood
The Political Economy of Detention Centres and its Impact on Vote Choice in the 2020 U.S. Election

Ignazio Jurado
Retrospective Voting under Supranational Constraints

David Wineroither, Florian Weiler, Simon Fink
Seeking for Shelter: The Sectoral Basis of Economic Voting in Austria
Retrospective Voting under Supranational Constraints
Ignacio Jurado, Pablo Fernandez-Vazquez
Universidad Carlos III

Economic voting is commonly seen as a cornerstone of democratic ac-countability. Influential work has argued that globalization attenuates it byblurring responsibility and constraining the room to maneuver of domesticgovernments (Hellwig,2001). Here, we test whether this argument extendsto another factor that also reduces policy maneuver: membership in Supra-national Institutions. In a pre-registered survey experiment fielded in Spainin May 2018, we manipulate both information about economic performanceand about the Eurozone rules that constrain domestic policy-making. Theevidence provides no support for theroom to maneuverhypothesis: unlikeglobalization, supranational constraintsdo notattenuate accountability forbad economic outcomes. Instead, they lead to a backlash against both the in-cumbent and other mainstream parties. We interpret the evidence as sugges-tive that voters blame these parties for having consented to the supranationalrules in the first place. These results show that the room to maneuver ar-gument formulated by the globalization literature cannot simply be extendedto membership of supranational organizations. This has important implica-tions to understand the electoral consequences of integration in internationalorganizations and the capacity of incumbents using them as scapegoats.