17:45 - 20:00
Thursday-Panel
Chair/s:
Michael Neugart
Discussant/s:
Lukas Stötzer
Meeting Room H

Sina Smid
Local Economic Effects of Morales’ Legacy in Bolivia: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design

Michael Neugart
Women's electoral success and mass mobilization: evidence from individual voting data

Fernando De la Cuesta
It's where you live, stupid! The re-emergence of the right-wing in Spain.

Nelson Ruiz, Miguel Rueda
Campaign Donations, Family Loyalty, and Kickbacks
It's where you live, stupid! The re-emergence of the right-wing in Spain.
Fernando De la Cuesta
Universidad Complutense de Madrid
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

Where you live matters. But is it so important as to be the phenomenon that causes the re-emergence of right-wing parties? By geo-localizing the inequalities of the administrative boundaries in Spain, a de-centralized country, I perform a natural experiment taking advantage of the exposure variations. I exploit these differences by a Geographic Regression Discontinuity approach, which allows to estimate how the territorial distribution failure has produced an increase in the right-wing voting in the 2019 elections. As a result, the more affected voters seem to react against the current situation by seeking a reversion to previous territorial stages, similar to the situation generated after the economic crises. Therefore, this context is reflected in the vote for pro-recentralization parties, which in Spain are represented by right-wing forces.