17:45 - 20:00
Thursday-Panel
Chair/s:
Costin Ciobanu
Discussant/s:
Brandon Beomseob Park
Meeting Room J

Mary Stegmaier, Michael Lewis-Beck, Beomseob Park
Economics and Elections: The future agenda

Alexandra Jabbour
Beyond the neighbourhood, but not too far: reconsidering the effect of the immediate environment on citizens’ perceptions of the economy

Eitan Tzelgov, Loren Collingwood
The Political Economy of Detention Centres and its Impact on Vote Choice in the 2020 U.S. Election

Ignazio Jurado
Retrospective Voting under Supranational Constraints

David Wineroither, Florian Weiler, Simon Fink
Seeking for Shelter: The Sectoral Basis of Economic Voting in Austria
Beyond the neighbourhood, but not too far: reconsidering the effect of the immediate environment on citizens’ perceptions of the economy
Alexandra Jabbour
University of Montreal

A growing number of studies investigate the role of local factors on individuals' perceptions of the national economy. Some of those studies showed that individuals use local economic conditions to infer the state of the national economy. What remains unknown is the extent to which individual mobility mitigates the impact of the local economic conditions on the perception of the national economy. The aim of this study is to demonstrate that when considering the impact of the local economic context on the perception of the national economy, it is necessary to take into account the mobility between the two places where citizens tend to spend most of their time: home and work. To do so, I use large administrative data from the US census bureau tapping the unemployment rate at the census block level, information on where workers live and work and surveys on political preferences retrieved from the Cooperative Congressional Election Survey (CCES) to measure the perception of the national economy. By means of this study, I aim to contribute to the literature on local politics and economic voting by giving a more complete picture of the context in which an individual lives and the effect of this specific environment on economic perception.