13:10 - 14:50
P13
Room:
Room: Meeting Room 2.3
Panel Session 13
Dylan Potts - The Irish Potato Famine and Desertion in the US Civil War
Vasily Korovkin - Conflict and Inter-Group Trade: Evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine Crisis
Jaakko Meriläinen - The Long-Run Political Legacy of a Civil War: Finland over More Than a Hundred Years
The Irish Potato Famine and Desertion in the US Civil War
P13-3
Presented by: Dylan Potts
Dylan Potts
European University Institute
How do traumatic experiences in individuals’ pasts impact political behaviour in the context of a new traumatic setting? I draw from established theories of how trauma can shape political participation and utilise the concepts of re-traumatization and risk-aversion to predict how battlefield outcomes vary due to past exposure to famine. I leverage individual-level data from the Union Army in the US Civil War to investigate how cohorts of Irish soldiers differ in their behaviour compared to counterfactual cohorts of soldiers from other immigrant groups. I validate this approach by observing the physical effects of famine on soldier heights and use various strategies such as estimating soldiers’ origins in Ireland to capture individual-level famine intensity. I find that soldiers born just before the potato famine participate at consistent rates but desert from the battlefield at higher rates than both their older compatriots or equivalent cohorts of other immigrants. I rule out an alternative economic mechanism and highlight that a risk-aversion mechanism best explains these elevated patterns of desertion. This research contributes to our understanding of the psycho-social effects of war and how behaviour during conflict is influenced by earlier trauma.