11:20 - 13:00
P12
Room:
Room: Meeting Room 2.1
Panel Session 12
Vytautas Kuokštis - Labor Market Flexibility and Exchange Rate Regimes
David Weyrauch - The Belt and Road Initiative and its Impact on Voting in the United Nations General Assembly
Cristina Bodea - The Financial Determinants of Party Manifestos: US-Monetary Cycles and Neo-liberal Politics
Michael A. Gavin - The International Monetary Fund and Central Bank Capabilities
Ryan Weldzius - Regional Monetary Policy Convergence
Labor Market Flexibility and Exchange Rate Regimes
P12-5
Presented by: Vytautas Kuokštis
Vytautas Kuokštis 1, Muhammad Asali 2, 3, 4, Simonas Spurga 1
1 Vilnius University, Institute of International Relations and Political Science
2 International School of Economics, Tbilisi State University
3 School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University
4 IZA, Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany
According to the optimum currency area (OCA) theory, labor market flexibility is one of the key criteria that determine whether a geographical entity is a good candidate to become part of a currency union — or adopt any type of fixed exchange rate regime, for that matter. It is therefore surprising that there have been no attempts so far in the literature to quantitatively investigate the relationship between labor market flexibility and currency regime choices in an in-depth manner. In this context, we investigate whether economies with more flexible labor markets aremore likely to adopt a fixed exchange rate system. With a global time-series cross-sectional sample, we find empirical support for our hypothesis. The findings are robust to different classifications of the dependent variable, the use of time and country fixed effects, as well as an instrumental variable estimation.