11:20 - 13:00
P12
Room:
Room: South Hall 2A
Panel Session 12
Kamil Marcinkiewicz - Unbundling of Conservative Attitudes and its Consequences for the Center-Right
Radoslaw Markowski, Piotr Zagórski - Religious voting in Poland: belonging versus believing
Mark Kayser - Downward Class Mobility and Far-Right Party Support
Sigrid Rossteutscher - Social Democracy, Christian Democracy, and the rise of right-wing populism in Germany
Martin Elff - Emergence of a new cleavage? Class, education and voting in Germany in long-term perspective
Downward Class Mobility and Far-Right Party Support
P12-3
Presented by: Mark Kayser
Alan Jacobs 1Mark Kayser 2
1 University of British Columbia
2 Hertie School, Berlin
Scholars are engaged in a vibrant debate over the degree to which cultural, as opposed to economic factors, drive far-right support. We argue that long-run material decline, but not the type of short-run economic change most often tested, drives far-right support. Using intergenerational occupational mobility as a proxy for long-run decline, we find a strong association with far-right (but not far-left) voting, as well as with anti-system and anti-immigrant attitudes. We further distinguish between status and material decline. Short-run economic shocks, in contrast, bear little to no association with far-right support. The findings have potential implications both for macro-level explanations of the recent rise of the far right in Europe and for how analysts should study its material foundations.