16:50 - 18:30
PS10
Room:
Room: Meeting Room 2.2
Panel Session 10
Natalia Piskunova - Russian Foreign Policy and the International Law in 1990s versus 2000s: Using, Misusing, or Creating a New Norm?
Barry Hashimoto, Kevin W. Gray - Ethnic discrimination in international criminal justice: analyzing the complete trial records of the tribunals for the former Yugoslavia
Felix Schulte - What’s law got to do with it? How the degree of legalization affects the success of post-conflict autonomy agreements
Øyvind Stiansen - Compliance with Inconsistent Awards
What’s law got to do with it? How the degree of legalization affects the success of post-conflict autonomy agreements
PS10-3
Presented by: Felix Schulte
Felix Schulte 1, Gene Carolan 2
1 Heidelberg University
2 Technical University Dublin
Territorial self-governance remains a persistent feature of contemporary conflict resolution. Existing research has identified a number of exogeneous factors that impact the sustainability of such arrangements, including previous levels of violence, the level of economic development in a given territory, or the strategic importance thereof. We argue that a hitherto neglected variable lies in the form of the autonomy agreement, namely in its degree of legalization. Based on an in-depth qualitative evaluation, we assess the degree of legalization of 228 post-conflict autonomy agreements signed between 1945 and 2020. Quantitative survival analyses and Cox regression models show that a higher degree of legalization has a positive and significant effect on peace durability.