13:10 - 14:50
PS8
Room:
Room: Terrace 2A
Panel Session 8
Sarah Berens - Crime risk and redistribution: A survey experiment of different sources of risks on distributive preferences in Brazil
Antonella Bandiera - Weak States: Guerrilla's Long-Term Development Consequences
Michael Dorsch - Public goods, trust and tax compliance in the shadow of empire
Bastian Becker - Doing Democracy's Work: The Paradoxical Political Legacy of Protestant Missions in British Africa
Weak States: Guerrilla's Long-Term Development Consequences
PS8-3
Presented by: Antonella Bandiera
Antonella Bandiera 1, Lelys Dinarte 2, Juan Miguel Jimenez 3, Sandra Rozo 2, Micaela Sviatschi 4
1 ITAM
2 Development Research Group
3 University of Chicago
4 Princeton University
How can territorial control by armed non-governmental actors impact long-term development? This article investigates the economic, social, and political consequences of guerrilla's territorial control in the Salvadoran Civil War. It employs spatial regression discontinuity design and census data to compare areas around and close to the boundary of guerrilla's controlled territories between 1981 and 1991. Results indicate that areas inside and in close proximity to guerrilla-controlled boundaries have significantly less night light density, worse education outcomes, and lower wealth indexes relative to the areas outside in the 2010s. The effects are primarily driven by reductions in public goods provision and lower private investment.