13:10 - 14:50
PS8
Room:
Room: Meeting Room 1.1
Panel Session 8
Eefje Steenvoorden - On the meaning of political trust. Focus group research into political perspectives of divergent sociological groups
Daniel Cruz - Informed about whom? Political Elites' Information Selection: A Pilot Study in Chile.
Barbara Vis - Political Elites, Predictions about the Future, and Overconfidence
Arndt Leininger, Lukas Rudolph - Can individual MPs damage their party's brand? Evidence of a public procurement corruption scandal in Germany
Informed about whom? Political Elites' Information Selection: A Pilot Study in Chile.
PS8-2
Presented by: Daniel Cruz
Daniel Cruz
University of Copenhagen
Despite the recent interest in misinformed politicians, few studies have considered the role of the procedure by which politicians choose what to focus on plays in their ability to understand constituents’ preferences. Information attention is important as, if politicians give disproportionate weight to certain information, this would introduce an important source of bias into their assessments of constituents' perspectives on different issues. Using a survey experiment design applied to political elites in Chile, this pilot study is the first attempt to fill this gap by examining whether politicians overestimate the relevance of information from personal experiences (episodic information) while ignoring statistical information (base rates). Moreover, this paper explores the influence interest groups have on this process by looking at whether they can persuade politicians to pay more attention to statistical information. The study's expected findings are that politicians do tend to focus more on personal experiences and that statistical information portrayed as originating from interest groups has a greater impact on them than information not framed in this way. This would suggest that politicians' understanding of constituent preferences is greatly dependent on how representative the group of people they pay attention to, is.