13:10 - 14:50
PS8
Room:
Room: Terrace 2A
Panel Session 8
Sarah Berens - Crime risk and redistribution: A survey experiment of different sources of risks on distributive preferences in Brazil
Antonella Bandiera - Weak States: Guerrilla's Long-Term Development Consequences
Michael Dorsch - Public goods, trust and tax compliance in the shadow of empire
Bastian Becker - Doing Democracy's Work: The Paradoxical Political Legacy of Protestant Missions in British Africa
Public goods, trust and tax compliance in the shadow of empire
PS8-1
Presented by: Michael Dorsch
Michael Dorsch 1, 2, Anand Murugesan 1
1 Central European University (Vienna)
2 Democracy Institute (Budapest)
Do fiscal reforms have a causal and lasting impact on trust in public institutions? Does trust in public institutions and fiscal capacity co-evolve? Can this co-evolution generate a path dependence that promotes compliance with tax regulations long after the initial reforms? To evaluate these questions, we examine the effect of historical Habsburg imperial rule on current levels of public trust and propensity to avoid income taxation. We trace the history of (at times radical) fiscal reforms by the 18th century Habsburg rulers. These reforms broadened the tax base by establishing land-registries (via cadastral surveys) while expanding access to and provision of public goods. A simple model highlights the role of salient public goods in the evolution and transmission of trust and tax compliance norms. The model motivates our empirical analysis, for which the historical Habsburg rule in contemporary Northern Italy serves as a natural experiment. We conducted online surveys in sister-cities on either side of the long-gone Habsburg border for causal identification. Our within-country design allows us to hold the formal institutions (e.g., enforcement) constant while exploiting the variation in social norms arising from historical differences. To gauge individual propensity to avoid income taxation, we introduce a novel incentivized behavioral choice in the survey -- signing up for pre-paid expert tax consultation vs. receiving an Amazon gift card -- that elicits revealed preference for tax compliance. We demonstrate that higher levels of historically determined public trust have a positive impact on compliance behavior.