15:00 - 16:40
P4
Room: Meeting Room 2.2
Panel Session 4
Ellen Lust - Identity, Information and Voting: Lessons from African Elections
Lauren Honig, Adam Harris - Social Institutions and State Reach: Examining Change in Gendered Land Rights in Southern Africa
Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, Elliott Green - Explaining Ethnic Favouritism in Sub-Saharan Africa
Identity, Information and Voting: Lessons from African Elections
P4-01
Presented by: Ellen Lust
Karen Ferree 2, Ellen Lust 1, Cecilia Ahsan Jansson 1, Erica Metheney 1
1 University of Gothenburg
2 University of California - San Diego
Candidate ethnicity often influences voters’ choices in elections but the mechanisms underlying this correlation are not fully understood. The predominant explanation focuses on beliefs about distributional favoritism of co-ethnics by politicians. Other plausible causal mechanisms include a belief that co-ethnics are of higher quality, either more morally sound or competent, than those from other groups; and a belief that co-ethnic candidates are more accessible (and thus easier to monitor and sanction) than non co-ethnics because they are situated in shared social networks. We explore these mechanisms through a single profile conjoint experiment administered to 19,202 respondents in Kenya, Malawi and Zambia. The experiment randomized candidate attributes, including ethnicity, asking a series of questions that tap into the voters’ expectations of distributional favoritism, quality, and accessibility. Layered on the core experiment was a second randomization involving informational treatments about the MP's record aimed at unpacking types of information ethnicity signals. We find that voters strongly prefer co-ethnic candidates, but the reasons they do so go far beyond expectations of distributional favoritism. Voters also see co-ethnic candidates as more competent, moral, and accessible, although they do not seem to believe that accessibility translates into greater ability to sanction or hold candidates accountable.