15:00 - 16:40
PS4
Room:
Room: Meeting Room 1.1
Panel Session 4
Toni Rodon - "United we win, divided we lose". The Electoral Impact of Candidate Selection
Klara Dentler - Electoral Messiah or Party Label? Quantifying and Identifying Leader-Party Relationships and Causal Pathways in German Federal Elections
Vicente Valentim - Observational Evidence of Normative Influences on Political Preferences
David Andersen - Crowded out: The effects of concurrent elections on voter learning and behavior
"United we win, divided we lose". The Electoral Impact of Candidate Selection
PS4-1
Presented by: Toni Rodon
Toni Rodon
Universitat Pompeu Fabra
The effect of party cohesion on voter choice is a common wisdom in electoral studies. This is also the argument party elites use to justify the existence of a single candidate for the post of party leader (normally referred as “coronations”). However the electoral consequences of competitive leadership selection events remain under-studied. Do candidates elected in primaries perform better? Or are primaries desired but also perceived by voters as a signal of an intra-party lack of cohesion? In this paper we want to assess the electoral impact of competitive leadership selection. We use an original dataset of leadership selection events at the regional level for the main parties in Canada, Germany and Spain since the early 1990s. In addition, we employ an experimental design to examine the effect of different intra-party selection procedures on vote choice. Our design also allows us to analyze why voters punish or reward candidates elected via different intra-party mechanisms.