13:10 - 14:50
P3
Room:
Room: Meeting Room 2.3
Panel Session 3
Jean Lacroix - The Origins of Elite Persistence: Evidence from Political Purges in post-World War II France
Lucas M. Novaes - The Autocracy Bandwagon: Political Survival and Democratic Backsliding
Adrian del Rio - Beyond Elite Dissent. New Dimensions and Data for the Study of Elite Defections in Electoral Autocracies
Victoria Paniagua, Joan Ricart-Huguet - Political Elites in Argentina: Representation in the Executive and the Legislature as Substitutes
The Autocracy Bandwagon: Political Survival and Democratic Backsliding
P3-2
Presented by: Lucas M. Novaes
Lucas M. Novaes 1, Guadalupe Tuñon 2
1 Insper - Institute of Education and Research
2 Princeton University
How does holding democratic political power affect political participation in non-democratic regimes? Analyzing a regression discontinuity design using the last democratic elections before Brazil's coup, we show that those holding office during the transition are more likely to continue their political participation in authoritarian elections even if that entails joining the regime. Furthermore, this effect is driven by left-wing politicians. The findings highlight the role of elections in the co-optation of the opposition in authoritarian regimes and have important implications for debates about democratic backsliding and electoral representation in autocracies.