11:20 - 13:00
P2
Room:
Room: Terrace 2B
Panel Session 2
Daniela Donno - Competing Verdicts: Multiple Election Monitors and Post-Election Violence
Gidon Cohen - Can Professionalization of the Police Curb Election Violence? Evidence From 19th Century England and Wales
Neeraj Prasad - Violence as an Electoral Strategy: Booth-Level Evidence from West Bengal, India
Giacomo Lemoli - Ethnic media, repression, and the mobilization of national identity
Patrick Kuhn - Electoral Competitiveness and Election Violence: Long-Term, Large-N, Within-Country Evidence From England and Wales, 1832-1914
Violence as an Electoral Strategy: Booth-Level Evidence from West Bengal, India
P2-1
Presented by: Neeraj Prasad
Ursula DaxeckerNeeraj Prasad
University of Amsterdam
Instrumental accounts of election violence suggest that politicians use violence to reduce turnout among non-supporters. Departing from the conventional wisdom, we argue that elites use violence not only for its deterrent but also for its mobilizing effects. Our paper establishes two instrumental logics: First, violence is used to scare non-supporters and deter them from voting, as current work implies. Second, violence is also employed to polarize the electorate and increase support for politicians complicit with or responsible for the violence. We argue that the two instrumental logics vary in terms of actors, geographical targeting, cleavages of contention, and empirical implications for non-violence outcomes. We expect that violence for demobilization is used by incumbents to deter non-supporters in opposition strongholds, results in lower electoral turnout, and is carried out along partisan lines. In contrast, we argue that violence for polarization is used by challenger parties to mobilize new supporters. We expect such violence in electorally competitive areas, that violence results in higher electoral turnout for the challenger, and that it exploits non-partisan cleavages, such as social, cultural, or religious divisions. Empirically, we assess our expectations using a novel micro-level data for more than 90,000 polling booths from West Bengal in India—a context that matches our scope conditions of routine political violence and competitive elections.