11:00 - 12:00
Th-STS13
Chair:
Jacopo Grazzini
How to predict economic growth thanks to press articles using NLP
Himpens Stéphanie, (Email), Arion Guillaume, (Email)
French National Institute of Statistics

Knowing the evolution of activity even earlier can be crucial. This was especially essential during the Covid-19 health crisis, which caused sudden and large-scale economic movements. Press articles constitute an important source of knowledge to analyse the economic activity. The present work addresses the construction of NLP-based leading indicators of GDP, which uses daily press article tests. It extends S. Combes & al. (2018) who calculated a media indicator from a count of positive or negative words on articles in the daily journal Le Monde.