16:00 - 17:30
Panel Session 2
Room: Zoom
Moderator/s:
Zeynep Somer-Topcu
Learning to constrain: Political competition, polarization, and randomized controlled trials
Michael Dorsch 1, Cristina Corduneanu-Huci 1, Paul Maarek 2
1 Central European University, Budapest
2 Universite Pantheon Assas (Paris 2), Paris

This paper provides a political economic analysis of Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) experiments in international development. We argue that in more politically competitive environments, where incumbents face a higher probability of losing power, governments have stronger incentive to run RCTs and implement reforms to constrain successors' margin of policy discretion. Moreover, the effect of competition on the probability to host RCTs is stronger in more polarized societies since the incumbent's cost of losing power is higher when the opposition's ideal policies are further away. We propose a formal model and then empirically examine its theoretical predictions using a unique data set on RCTs that we have compiled. Over a cross-national panel, we find that RCTs are more likely to occur in electorally competitive jurisdictions, and that the effect is amplified by political polarization.


Reference:
Th-P2-03
Session:
Political Economy, Public Policy and Administration
Presenter/s:
Michael Dorsch
Topic:
EU Politics
Presentation type:
Oral presentation
Room:
Zoom
Moderator/s:
Zeynep Somer-Topcu
Date:
Thursday, 18 June
Time:
16:30 - 16:45
Session times:
16:00 - 17:30

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